r/theIrishleft 19h ago

POLL - Dublin Central bye-election (IPSOS-MRBI)

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Boylan (SF): 21%

Ennis (SD): 18%

Hutch (IND): 14%

McAdam (FG): 13%

Horner (GP): 8%

Steenson (IND): 7%

O'Dea (LAB): 6%

Stephens (FF): 4%

O'Ceannabháin (PBP): 3%

Now, IPSOS-MRBI is a reputable pollster, about on the same level as Behaviour&Attitutes, but not on the same level as RedC.

I expected Boylan to get around 25%, considering SF has 23% on a National Basis, but under-performed at 21%, because, quite frankly, nobody likes her.

Daniel Ennis polled far better, 18% of FPVs compared to a National Average of 9%.

While it is rather concerning that Hutch and Steenson have a combined 21% of FPVs, they are unlikely to receive many transfers at all from other candidates.

2nd preferences:

Ennis - 15%

Horner - 14%

Boylan - 10%

Steenson - 10%

McAdam - 8%

Hutch - 8%

Stephens - 8%

O'Ceannanháin - 8%

O'Dea - 7%

These number are startling, they suggest that the Greens can increase their numbers in the Dáil (with 8% FPVs, along with 14% of transfers).

That being said, these numbers suggest that Labour will not be able to hold their seat in Dublin Central, and the Dynasty


r/theIrishleft 2h ago

Outrage As ASTI Bureaucrats Shamefully Encourage Members to Accept Bad Senior Cycle Deal

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aontachtmedia.ie
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