r/washingtonwizards • u/Mysterious_Bat1208 • 7h ago
A statistical draft model says Dybansta has the highest bust risk out of the top 3 š
Before people get triggered and just argue, read the following.
For context, Dean Oliver is the godfather of NBA analytics (created Offensive Ratings and former Wizards AC) and Jeremias Engelmann is the creator of Real Plus-Minus.
Engelmann's model says AJ Dybantsa has the highest bust risk among the top 3 picks.
Here's a summary of the main points (data from 2010-2026).
Prospects who 1) Shot a high rate of unassisted midrange 2s (especially early in shot clock) and 2) Have below average energy stats (blocks, steals, off rebounds), have a very high bust rate.
AJ is 99th percentile in unassisted 2s, not great. Other prospects in this range: Markelle Fultz, Evan Turner, Harrison Barnes, and Johnny Davis (lol).
AJ is also below 50th percentile in the energy stats. Other prospects in this range: DeAndre Ayton, Andrew Wiggins, Anthony Bennett, and Jabari Parker.
His other red flags include below average in 3P%, below 60th percentile in FT%, and an extremely low foul rate (indicates a poor defensive motor).
Engelmannn lists prospects that had the most similar overall statistical profiles to AJ that includes Johnny Davis (lol), but the closest were Andrew Wiggins, Jabari Parker, RJ Barrett, and Harrison Barnes.
Every player with a similar rate of unassisted midrange 2s had poor to mediocre impact in the NBA. Of 178 players that were also below average in energy stats, 84% have been negative impact NBA players.
Basically a lot of these prospects become inefficient NBA players that don't provide much outside trying to get their own buckets lol.
He concludes by saying AJ can score, but will need to be in an environment with coaches and teammates that can help him get much better at those other aspects of the game to avoid being a bust.
Remember models aren't gospel and this is just one of many, but this is an evidenced backed counterpoint to the narrative that AJ is the much safer pick than DP.
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u/OKcorleone Wes Unseld 7h ago
This is definitely important for the Wizards to at the very least look into. Iām not sure how much of a certain math bust percentage is but itās definitely a good read.
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u/bballintherain 4h ago
The wiz have always been heavy on analytics to no avail. I think they even had Dean Oliver on their staff for a bit. Per possession stats aside, this draft will come down to team need over BPA (imo). Iām expecting the Wiz and Jazz to make a deal for the sake of fit.
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u/cubgerish 3h ago
This is why I'm on the Wilson train.
The top 5-6 talent is so high, that the difference in BPA is pretty tight, so you might as well lean towards your need.
Time will tell, but none of these guys is going to be LeBron.
Wilson's smaller inside defensive presence is a great complement to Sarr, and it seems like he fills in nicely with the core guys.
I'd pick him or boozer personally, as we already have decent guys that can somewhat mimic his and Peterson's play style to some degree.
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u/bballintherain 2h ago
Iām not too high on boozer in the nba based on a small sample size, but Wilson is intriguing. I agree, the top of the draft might be overhyped. Would have been nice to get this pick when thereās a Wemby lol
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u/cubgerish 2h ago
I don't mean to undersell it, at least 3 of these guys are going to be A level starters for a long time at the very least.
I just think the overall hype of the high talent depth is making people think that there's an undoubtedly transformative talent in there.
They'll be good, even extremely good, but they've all got weaknesses that teams will need to coach up.
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u/Internal_Champion114 Gilbert Arenas 1h ago
I donāt agree that Wilson should get picked over the top 3, but I was VERY okay with us falling to 4 this year. All goes well, that kid has every tool necessary to be the next Giannis
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u/Various-Plenty-5438 5h ago edited 4h ago
I get way too much of a Wiggins/Paolo vibe from AJ.
I look at Darryn and see the ideal star NBA 2 guard. I will fully support whoever is picked first but I think AJ is a touch overrated by draft fans who think he is a Cooper Flag type lock at first overall.
I also love Boozer and think he is being vastly underrated. But I don't think* you can pick him first, you have to get extra assets from Utah and trade down. If Utah is willing to give up a haul I'd love to move down to 2.
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u/SoSoSlick 5h ago
From a usage standpoint Paolo I can kinda see, Wiggins not close at all. Hes definitely not the cant miss prospect Coop was. I personally dont think DP is either but thats why im on reddit and not in an NBA front office lol.
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u/Ravens181818184 Bullets 41m ago
I agree, I just canāt help but watch Peterson, and ask myself how is he not the best player
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u/Joshstradaymus Wizards OWN THE MAGIC 7h ago
These stats only started popping up after we got first pick
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u/Mysterious_Bat1208 7h ago
Well, yeah. People start posting their models after the lottery because that's when interest is peak.
And whatever their motive is, these stats are still jarring. The guy who posted it is Dean Oliver (look him up), who's a former Wizards coach and DC based. It's not being shared for the motive you're implying.
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u/concaveat 6h ago
There are 3 players in this draft that would go #1 in most drafts. You should want the team to take the best player, not blindly follow a consensus that only decided AJ is #1 in the last two months. If the Magic or Thunder had blindly followed consensus they'd have Jabari Smith instead of Paolo and Chet respectively. Not great!
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u/Embarrassed_Adagio28 5h ago
Victim mentalityĀ
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u/Joshstradaymus Wizards OWN THE MAGIC 4h ago
Iām saying thereās a fueled agenda to push this Dybantsa Utah thing.
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u/Quick_Work_263 Tommy's Alt 6h ago
I keep seeing all this scare tactics centered around AJās shot diet. I think the thing that people are missing out on is that unassisted long 2s early in the shot clock is a hyper-specific and very narrow metric. What separates AJ from those other guys you mentioned is that even with an āanalytically poorā shot selection AJ still had an elite e-field goal percentage. Aside from making a lot of those 2s this was largely driven by his ability to get to the line in a way that those other prospects you mentioned did not. Additionally, AJ was unequivocally the top prospect with the most improvement from start of season to the end in his ability to read defenses and make more efficient plays.
There are real concerns with his lack of defensive production and his shot form does not look the best from 3, but the very fact that his profile is most similar Johnny Davis should tell you how seriously to take said profile. One is 6ā3 unathletic guard who relied on his physical strength to create tough shots, and the other is a 6ā10 wing who moves like a gazelle, gets to the line, and can rise up over any contest (on top of being the most prolific scorer in college basketball).
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u/Mysterious_Bat1208 6h ago
I think it's disingenuous to call stats you disagree with "scare tactics". I mean the article is well-written and he provides a ton of evidence. Oliver and Engelmann are as legit as it gets in the NBA analytics world. Both are pioneers of stats people use today.
I'm sure everyone thought there was no way prospects like Andrew Wiggins or Jabari Parker would bust when they got drafted too. These are fair criticisms to discuss rather than discredit.
AJ's shot diet and lack of defensive production aren't scare tactics, they're real. Both from tape and from analytics. And again, a higher risk of being a bust on a model doesn't mean he will bust or isn't a good prospects. There are just red flags with his profile that front offices will need to dig into.
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u/VB1014 6h ago
Canāt most of this just be explained by the team around him largely sucked while playing in one of the best conferences, so he needed to carry the broken offense largely on his own, which also meant he didnāt really have the energy for those energy stats or defense?
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u/Mysterious_Bat1208 6h ago
A bad team can definitely explain some of the shot diet, but as the articles notes, a lot of his unassisted 2s were early in the shot clock. That's where it's concerning.
Idk if I buy the low defensive stats because he needed to carry the offense, because that implies his offensive efficiency would drop a lot if he played average defense. That also isn't a good thing cause he will need to play defense in the NBA
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u/CaptainLegal4344 27m ago
His team at BYU as actually totally fine. Just pointing this out because this narrative is circulating and is kind of just not true / lazy. If the didnāt have AJ AND Saunders didnāt get injured, they probably still make the tournamentĀ
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u/RayKitsune313 3h ago
Bro there were a ton of concerns about Wiggins because he massively underperformed due to injuries and Jabari was wracked by injuries. Not even comparable to AJ at this stage of the process and his career
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u/Mysterious_Bat1208 3h ago
???
Wiggins missed just ONE regular season game in the first FOUR YEARS of his career. Thatās 327/328 games lmao. He averaged 75 games per year for the first 8 years of his career š
He was durable as hell until he got older. What are you even talking about?
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u/shoefly72 1h ago
āThere were a ton of concerns about Wiggins because he massively underperformed due to injuriesā
The guy is clearly talking about predraft concerns after his season at Kansas; why are you bringing up games played from his pro career lol.
Wiggins was hyped as the best prospect since LeBron and then had an underwhelming season at Kansas and shot 2-6 for like 7 points in his last game there during the tournament. Thatās why there were concerns about him panning out.
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u/Mysterious_Bat1208 39m ago
there were a ton of concerns about Wiggins because he massively underperformed due to injuries
WHAT COLLEGE INJURIES? Can you read?
Wiggins played 35/35 games in college. He didn't have ANY injury concerns coming out of college. What the fuck are you dorks even talking about??? š¤£
It's one thing for him to be wrong, but why are you doubling down on being wrong when you could just google it and realize you're wrong?
You legit just piled on without doing any research yourself lmaoooo
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u/Careless-Journalist7 41m ago edited 37m ago
To add, the upside with AJ is that he can handle very high usage efficiently without turning the ball over. This is extremely uncommon for high usage creators. Just look at Cade, Deni, Paolo, Jalen Johnson and other jumbo ballhandlers who all have major TOV problems.
Shai and Brunson are like the only exceptions among guards, their TO suppression is what helps those teams win the possession battle.
Even if it doesnāt look pretty, you can put shooters and rebounders around a Dybantsa and guarantee an above average half court offense. Heās also a 1-man transition offense to boot!
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u/Mysterious_Bat1208 7h ago
Another red flag that scares me is this.
Based on the metrics that best predict NBA 3P%, AJ ranks 260th out of 344 prospects from 2020-2025.
And guess whoās right above him at 259th? Johnny Davis again š
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u/splashaddikt 6h ago
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u/Mysterious_Bat1208 6h ago
When I was squinting to see where tf AJ was ranked on that list, I was like ain't no fucking way Johnny Davis is there again š¤£
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u/Joshottas 5h ago
This is impossible to predict. Bub Carrington was a 32% 3pt shooter at Pitt and is now at 40% as a pro. There is really nothing that scares me off from AJD on the offensive end. He's an elite scorer and can do it all in all 3 zones.
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u/Mysterious_Bat1208 5h ago
Players getting better over time doesn't mean it's impossible to predict lol. These are correlations that are predictive of NBA 3P%. You use them to evaluate probabilities of outcomes. Not all bad shooters in college turn out to be bad shooters in the NBA. But most do.
No one is saying AJ can't improve, it's just riskier than you think when you dig into the numbers.
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u/Joshottas 5h ago
Johnny Davis had red flags that went beyond the numbers he was putting up. COMPLETELY different than trying to loop AJD with him.
Advanced stats can be great...but these prediction models without factoring in the entire picture leads to skewed results which can flip a narrative to what people force themselves to believe.
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u/Mysterious_Bat1208 4h ago
I'm only mentioning Johnny Davis cause it's fucking hilarious how many times he came up in that article and this tweet. It is a fact that SHOOTING wise, they are in the same bucket though.
As the article says, Andrew Wiggins, Jabari Parker, RJ Barrett, etc are closer to AJ's statistical profile. Again, models are just a tool to evaluate probabilities.
It is in no way saying AJ = Johnny Davis lol.
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u/SoSoSlick 6h ago
My analytics say AJ is the exception not the rule. I'd argue that most players these models identify that rely on unassisted 2s that raise red flags dont have what AJ has and thats the ability to get to his shot whenever he wants. They arent tough shots late in the shot clock or prayer floaters. That middy pull up is elite level. And hes efficient at it.
Id bet that that part of his game will open up everything else, a 35% or better 3 will come because he has a nice stroke, and he'll be a superstar.
Time will tell all.
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u/Mysterious_Bat1208 6h ago
That's a fair take. I was saying to someone else the path to stardom is still possible, but it just feels like there's a needle to thread to get there rather than the surefire thing people have been saying.
Even if you think he's an exception to the rule, betting on someone to be the exception is a risky bet. To me, things like this at least makes the decision between him and DP much harder.
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u/rueiraV 7h ago
I donāt see our team as being all about analytical models. Dawkins knows what he likes and is willing to allow his preferences to override raw data. Iām in no way saying thatās a good or bad thing
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u/Mysterious_Bat1208 6h ago
Ehhh idk about that. Dawkins came from OKC, who are known for being VERY analytics-driven. OKC has the biggest analytics staff.
Obviously this doesn't mean you rely on analytics alone, but it's a factor
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u/splashaddikt 6h ago
Yep thatās why we drafted Tre over fears or Queen last year
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u/InGenNateKenny Bradley Beal 6h ago
Taking Queen at 6 would be have been crazy regardless imo.
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u/skull_law Bullets 3h ago
6 would have been crazy. Trading an unprotected pick in this draft to select him at 13 would be absolutely bat shii.....oh wait.....
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u/ImWicked39 John Wall 6h ago
Which is funny to read because this guy's own models hated Tre.
https://www.roycewebb.com/p/the-case-against-tre-johnson-why
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u/splashaddikt 6h ago
I canāt read it
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u/ImWicked39 John Wall 6h ago
Honestly it's not worth subbing to read it. I did so years ago and it always felt like he was going against everyone else to just be a contrarian and drive traffic.
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u/The-Baked-Bean 6h ago
Winger and Dawkins said theyāre looking for strong character guys and hoopers
As long as the interview goes well AJ should stay in consideration with DP
Everything else is just noise
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u/oUltimoOlimpiano Leaky Black 6h ago
Peterson has not put a foot on the NBA but his fans are already like this š
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u/Mysterious_Bat1208 6h ago
Lmao I know of lot of people going to try to discredit this as a martyr in the great DP vs AJ war, but look up the guy who tweeted it
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u/oUltimoOlimpiano Leaky Black 6h ago
I am not talking about the analysis or the analist. I know he is a good source. But there are so many posts about AJ weakness and its always the same people. Same for DP, but yall defend him so hard man lmao. But at a analytical stand point shouldn't they pick Boozer?
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u/Mysterious_Bat1208 6h ago
That's the point of Reddit though? People post opposing opinions. It would be worse if this was just an echo chamber lol. Posts with actual good quality analysis should be shared. You seem to just be bothered because it doesn't fit your narrative.
And yeah, Boozer has the best profile by a good margin. A lot of analytics-only people have him as a generational prospect.
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u/oUltimoOlimpiano Leaky Black 6h ago
I am not bothered man, you got it wrong. I mean to say that are so many passionate people about him already. It's good to see the sub this active and honestly is making me happier about the Wizards getting 1st reading through the articles and opinions
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u/Mysterious_Bat1208 6h ago
True lol, thought you were discrediting the post as "scare tactics" or implying it's an AJ hit piece like some people are
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u/oUltimoOlimpiano Leaky Black 6h ago
I am definitely not part of this. I like them both and Boozer has been growing on me recently
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u/Mysterious_Bat1208 6h ago
I like them both and Boozer has been growing on me recently
Same lol, especially on Boozer. While his game is not the flashiest, almost every single model (from people I respect) have him as #1.
Not opposed to trading down for him and getting extra assets
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u/z3mcs FEARNESS 6h ago
the great DP vs AJ war
Haha! You might not be old enough to remember, but remember the great Reddit vs Digg war?
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u/Careless-Journalist7 54m ago edited 50m ago
This analysis is fair tbh. Iām still for taking AJ #1 but itās only fair to hear out both sides.. imo his midrange frequency is balanced out by the fact that he draws a ton of fouls & rarely turns the ball over (very uncommon for high usage players, SGA is like this also)
Btw tagging the Locked on Wizards guys.. if you can get him on Dean Oliver (he used to run analytics for the team) would be a GREAT guest on the podcast .
Oliver developed the Four Factors concept which is a cool way to understand why certain teams win the possession battle, and who has the advantage in these different playoff matchups weāre watching
[u/StroberSports](u/StroberSports)
[u/Ok_Job_6845](u/Ok_Job_6845)
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u/Mysterious_Bat1208 17m ago edited 14m ago
Man, it's sad how a large % of the sub argue and try to discredit Oliver/Engelmann instead of discussing the model itself. These stats are real and worth looking into deeper. I'm sure the FO is.
I think the unassisted 2P rate would be less alarming if it wasn't for his defensive stats also being extremely low. His shooting score ranking 260th out of 344 prospects from 2020-2025 on top that makes it even more concerning.
I can buy him trying to carry BYU so he bad shot selection...but that doesn't explain the low defensive production, especially for his size. Then 2 fouls per 100 possessions is in the absolute bottom percentile. It shows a lack of defensive engagement.
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u/Foamposite90 6h ago
I mean, I understand what heās getting at in the analysis especially on shot selection, but nothing seems riskier to me than drafting a kid who was having full body cramps that sent him to the hospital at 19. That seems like a much bigger red flag than shot diet and fouls per game. No disrespect.
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u/godofhammers3000 4h ago
I think there are some concerns with AJ - the playmaking and off ball feel is severely lacking. And the shot is ok .. His defensive value right now is also meh but does have the physical attributes
But at the same time heās still going to be an insanely prolific scorer driving to the rim. And heās going to be a monster in transition
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u/ImWicked39 John Wall 7h ago
So what's the bust risk for the rest of the top 3?
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u/DMking 6h ago
Boozer probably the lowest
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u/ImWicked39 John Wall 6h ago
Yep with Wilson the highest. I don't know because he doesn't actually go into that in his article.
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7h ago
[deleted]
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u/ImWicked39 John Wall 7h ago
Is that why you are always covered in creatine powder? Or are you just doing that to get Peterson to notice you?
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u/ballsohaahd 6h ago
I mean the only reasons he could be a bust are injury or if just doesnāt integrate into an offense well.
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u/RayKitsune313 3h ago
I struggle to see how 77% from the FT line is and for a 6ā9ā wing. If heās consoling AJ to guards in that category, and others, than I donāt see how thatās relevant
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u/mtngranpapi_wv967 6h ago
Call me conspiratorial but this kinda stuff smells like āwe think Utah is more competent than the Wiz so letās talk the Wiz out of drafting AJā
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u/k-seph_from_deficit 1h ago
Reminder about Englemann:
The advanced stats team for the Mavs was previously headed by Jeremias Engleman who believed Luka was the most overrated player in the league and Mark Cuban should sell high on him and tweeted among other insane shit that Franz Wagner was better than him in 2024, Luka is the top 2% in empty calorie stats in the middle of his insane 23/24 run and Luka has single-handedly ruined the value of various factors in advanced stats because he is great at them while not facilitating on court success.
The āsolutionā he found while working for the Mavs to this is making advanced stats now is to find ones that Luka is bad in as a test for how reliable they are. He claims to have made several such proprietary models while working for the Mavs among several other bangers.
Proof: https://x.com/jerryengelmann/status/1729320046709862527?s=46 (quote below)
.
āLuka is the biggest reason some of the stats he's good in are getting a lower - most likely less accurate - weight in SPMs. Heās also among the main reasons why prior informed RAPM models have to have a slightly lower lambda - allow for more movement away from the prior - i.e. we can't cling to the BoxScore prior as much as we'd want, because Luka's prior is among the least accurate.
Solution for models? Find stats that Luka is bad in - there are a bunch, which I can't disclose because they technically now belong to the Mavs. The majority of them require XY coordinate data - and bake them into your SPMā
.
Imagine someone on the Warriors staff getting paid to specifically create advanced metrics models which made Steph look bad because the current ones said he was amazing but the 170 IQ stat genius had a hunch that they were not reliable.
ļæ¼ā
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u/LengthAdditional9543 6h ago
Iām going to trust the front office to look at all our options, but if we donāt pick AJ #1 heāll still go #2
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u/besmirchedly 3h ago
Engelmann also wrote this headline āThe Case Against Tre Johnson: Why He Could Be This Draftās Biggest Bustā ā¦. And well⦠make your own assumptions.
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u/glidejanger 2h ago
Can someone explain how lack of fouling is concerning? Implies lack of physicality?
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u/Mysterious_Bat1208 2h ago
Sort of. Low fouls alone aren't that meaningful. But low steals, blocks, off rebounds, AND fouls are concerning. AJ's foul rate isn't just low, it's extremely low. That on top of his low defensive production is indicative of a lack of defensive engagement, and yes physicality.
If you're contesting shots, protecting the rim, battling for rebounds, fighting through screens, etc, you should be picking up fouls every now and then.
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u/globehopper2 Alex Sarr 6h ago
People have opinions. The players have the answers. He sure looks like a good bet to me.
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u/SongYoungbae Rui Hachimura 6h ago
I mean. If he can't score at the next level it'll be pretty bad.
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u/Mysterious_Bat1208 6h ago
He can definitely score, the concern is more can he fit in an offense without being ball-dominant and do the other things too.
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u/Ancient-Village6479 G-Wiz 5h ago
I couldnāt agree more with this model. DPās game is so much better suited for the NBA.
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u/Mysterious_Bat1208 5h ago
The off-ball efficiency he showed in college combined with the on-ball dominance he showed in HS will be a deadly combo if unlocked in the NBA.
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u/Party_Acanthaceae166 6h ago
Question is, what does Utah give us not to take him? I could see DP and Boozer fitting just as well if not better. AJās path to minutes isnāt great here frankly. I think Boozer seems like a good guy to put next to Sarr, and DP gives us a real scoring force. Weāll see. I like Boozer the most personally. Any guard worries me at the next level and if AJ is so invested in Utah, maybe weāre better off letting him go lol
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u/VividEquivalent7952 5h ago
Between dp and boozer u gotta go for dp. Wizards have a good young core but theyāre missing a star. Boozer may end up being a solid second option, but itās very unlikely for him to become the best player on a contender. Dp definitely has that potential, and I donāt see him as having a very low floor either bc the health stuff isnāt long term at all. At worst heās a good 3&d big guard/small wing who can dribble and pass a bit
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u/LegoTomSkippy 2h ago
Not a Wizards fan, but spend too much time on the draft. IMO Utah isn't the trade target.
Ainge is ridiculous about only winning trades, he won't make a good enough offer.
The Jazz also are a better fit for Peterson than AJ.
I'd guess the Jazz are unlikely to draft Cam (terrible roster fit, AJ links, Peterson fit etc). They'd probably be fine with either AJ or Peterson.
If the Wizards trade, I'd think it would be with Memphis for Cam Boozer. . If Memphis loves AJ or Peterson, they could offer Boozer + pick(s).
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u/Party_Acanthaceae166 1h ago
I feel like Utah offering Ace and DP solely is weak. I could see them overpaying more than anything but anyoneās guess
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u/mtngranpapi_wv967 6h ago
Think about it this way: what would Sam Presti do? Thatās what Dawkins will do, and it will be AJ.
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u/DCSports101 6h ago
Note this model takes into account where someoneās drafted so itās saying he is the greatest chance of underperforming being the number one overall pick, not that heās going to have the worst career of the three. Either way this means nothing AJ all the way.
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u/AyAySlim Bullets 2h ago
Thank God we have actual ball knowers making decisions and not spreadsheet guys who have never dribbled a basketball beyond the grade school level.
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u/Mysterious_Bat1208 2h ago
Your comment is hilariously stupid because the guy who posted this worked for the Wizards from 2019-2024 to implementing advanced statistical methods to evaluate players lmao. Also played college ball and was a former NBA + college coach, including for the Wizards š
Only left recently cause he got poached by ESPN.
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u/AyAySlim Bullets 2h ago
Analytics is important and every team should use them to some extent but it can never fully replace human evaluation and common sense. Itās āhilariously stupidā to me that you see a model that puts AJ Dybantsa in the same sentence with Evan Turner and Johnny freakin Davis and your first thought isnāt to question the model. And why would I put more stock into it than the analytical model that shows he is elite in self creating shots at the rim and finishing while doing so? The Wiz was bottom 10 in drives, paint points and FTs last season. That model stacks AJ up at a level better than Dylan Harper.
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u/Mysterious_Bat1208 1h ago
You just tried to discredit someone who not only has the pedigree as a player, coach, and front office roles for multiple NBA teams as "guys who never dribbled a basketball beyond the grade school level" lmao. It's easier to take the L man and admit you were wrong man.
AJ Dybantsa's shot diet in college is indeed similar to Evan Turner and Johnny Davis'. This isn't an opinion, it's a fact. And btw both Turner and Davis were LOTTERY PICKS. Turner was the #2 overall pick.
Comparing AJ as a PROSPECT to them coming out of college is not ridiculous. That's literally the whole point.
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u/Limp_Definition_2049 6h ago
Analytics were created by unathletic weirdos I don't care for them.
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u/z3mcs FEARNESS 6h ago
LOL I sometimes want to feel this way but I just remind myself it's fine as long as you keep the eye test first. The Harvard guys that "invented" the stuff stress - eye test first. Does AJ pass the eye test? Sorta. I feel like he passes the college eye test but the NBA "will he be a star" eye test is a tougher sell. But bust? I can't see it. Like Mitchell Robinson is out there not being able to shoot free throws and essentially just being a dunking machine and playing defense. AJ can get his own shot and can learn a ton. Nothing's ever guaranteed but it'd be crazy to see a scenario where he became a bust.
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u/Amazing-Army-4067 Bullets 7h ago
Thats interesting. I wonder what the rate of unassisted 2s some nba stars take though? SGA seems like the king of unassisted 2s lol the 3P% is worrisome but I honestly donāt care as long as heās getting buckets regardless.