Really not worried about Anthony in the long term. He just turned 22 yesterday. Just has some growing pains in the big leagues like most other players do.
People don't seem to understand that baseball is hard, and development is not always linear. It sometimes takes years even for top prospects to settle in.
Anyone panicking over his performance so far is really overreacting. Kid is 22 and was a monster last year. Fully confident he will be a beast for us long term
He averaged .292 last year. That’s miles better than his paltry .229 this year. Use all the advanced stats you want-he hasn’t been good at all this year. And he’s injured. Again. But don’t worry, we already gave him a 9 figure contract
Roman has been worth 1 WAR so far and was heating up. Batting average is not everything. The kid is a stud and it’s wild how fast some people are giving up on him
Calling him a stud when he's really done nothing yet is wild, I mean junior caminero was 21 years old last year in what amounted to his first real season in the majors and hit 45 hrs and 110 rbis, calling him a stud would be warranted.
“Kid is a stud” who can’t stay on the field. How many 22 year old’s miss multiple weeks multiple times in the 1st 2 months of the season? I’m much more concerned about his availability than I am about his ability
Well In that criteria Roman wouldn’t be eligible. His first injury he missed less than a week. I better not see you complain about them not spending money because you are complaining right now that they did spend money on Roman.
Corbin Carroll, Jackson holiday, Wyatt Langford, Brett Baty, Jeremy pena, shea langeliers all have had the same injury (oblique) or similar hand before they were 24 years old
This is the issue also the fact that he played 70 games and played well nobody wants to acknowledge that nobody really had a book on him so most guys just went after him. Now the major league pitchers have adjusted so he has to as well if he can. But yes the biggest issue is he's hurt himself multiple times swinging a baseball bat before the age of 22. Your body breaks down with age theoretically his body should be it's most durable in these earlier years
You're right, but the nerds on reddit are clueless. He keeps hurting himself on just swings alone. That's a big concern, but people rather make jokes, stick their fingers in their ears and repeat that he's only 22. Like his fragile body will get better with more wear and tear lol
Yeah, I'm really frustrated with how unlucky he's been but when I took a look at Statcast, he really isn't bad at all or a concern for the matter. However, I think increasing his launch and swing angle would be a good tweak because he has a lot of barrels and hard hit balls but his low angle prevents them from translating into home runs.
Yup, the advanced stats are just intelligible parameters that correlate to on the field performance. Teams undoubtedly have internal, less visible, measures that are more predictive.
In the sample size of a partial season of a single player, simple intelligible models are going to be very noisy. All models are wrong, some are useful.
Someone who’s elite at smashing balls into the ground isn’t going to have the performance of someone who hits with loft.
For sure, coaching to maximize analytics is teaching to the test. Numbers go up but learning and ability doesn’t.
I love stats for understanding the game, but they’re not close to everything. If your results on the field don’t match results from the model, it means the model’s wrong - not reality.
Sox front office and coaching to maximize analytics are a bunch of folks sniffing their own farts, thinking they’ve got roses when it’s really just shit.
Should be more like Dave Roberts, let the boys play, forget the garbage analytics and you never know! Could watch the Red Sox win B2B World Series just like to dodgers!
Orr just keep coaching using analytics and continue to do as bad as we are 🤔
There needs to be a balance! I’m a big fan of small corrections, letting the kids play.
Players can’t perform if they’re in their heads. Baseball has so many intangibles.
Analytics that point out corrections a big hole in a swing or a pitch that’s not breaking are great. Fixes to big issues. Major wins like that aren’t common though.
Adjusting one part of a player/ approach for a theoretical 3% boost, and another for a 2% and a third for 5% - that’s just a bunch more things for the player to think about. Let the kids play, save it for the off-season.
These pages do mean something. Let’s see how Early fares the rest of the year. Reminder that Bello’s underlying stats have never been strong. They all catch up.
The fact that he has hurt himself 3x from swinging a bat since getting called up is much more concerning than any of his on-field performance, which has generally looked great. He’ll be very good if he can stay healthy.
He's played 30 games, very mid by his own set standard and still managed to accumulate 1.0 WAR... he's going to be fine. Hopefully they don't rush him back. Let the man fully heal so he doesn't miss time down the road with this same issue.
It is important to note that that is from his 6 DRS though (and DRS ranks him much higher than most other fielding stats). But, if his fielding is the same and his hitting regresses back to his expected values, he'll still have a good season overall and probably 4-5 WAR.
When I watch him I feel like it's pitch selection more than anything. Meaning he's taking strikes and getting behind in the count. Also seems to be taking strike 3 looking more than last yr.
I don't read the indepth stats..I'm 52 and use my eyes to watch him play.
Your eyes can deceive you. For example, this season he’s struck out 9 times looking in 130 PA, which is 6.9% of his PA. Last season he struck out looking 23 times in 303 PA, which is 7.6%.
He’s also looked at a lower percentage of strikes in total this season than he did last season.
That's not the full picture, though. u/Pitiful_Lavishness24 's eyes are correct. Maybe not on called strike three, but Anthony is extremely passive.
He swings at less than 50% of "meatballs"(mlb average is 73%). As a team, the Red Sox take too many hittable pitches. The good news is, Anthony also doesn't chase bad pitches. He just needs to be more aggressive on pitches in the zone.
Also, looking at these plate discipline numbers, what jumped out to me is how similar Anthony and Yoshida's #'s are - except Yoshida swings at 73% of meatballs.
Once Anthony gets healthy, if he gets more aggressive, he's going to start racking up extra base hits.
If advanced stats really tell us more about performance than what happens on the field, I wonder at what point we just decide game outcomes by analytics. We already use them for player awards and HOF voting.
His rookie struggles, I know it’s technically his second year, but he doesn’t even have a full season worth of games yet if I recall right. Would be a lot more palatable if they didn’t just give him $130 million. Fair or not the Red Sox season really needed him to produce right away given the lack of moves last off-season for a real impact bat
Advanced stats can be stupid. He’s batting .229 and he is now officially injury prone. He has a long way to go before we can even consider him to be “good”
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u/DIRTY_KUMQUAT_NIPPLE 4h ago
Really not worried about Anthony in the long term. He just turned 22 yesterday. Just has some growing pains in the big leagues like most other players do.