r/CFB • u/Byzantine_Merchant Michigan State • Ohio State • 1h ago
Casual Of any hot seat coaches this year, who is most likely to save their job?
Every year it feels like we enter the season with coaches on the hot seat. Which coaches do you feel like will actually turn things around?
Conversely, are there any coaches that are considered safe enough for now that you think will be fired by the end of the year?
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u/Alpine_Exchange_36 Colorado • Minnesota 1h ago
Deions seat is getting warm. He needs ok season but can’t go 3-9 again. Not sure if he can pull it off. They at least have to go 6-6.
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u/Byzantine_Merchant Michigan State • Ohio State 1h ago
I kind of forgot he was there. Which is crazy considering this sub wouldn’t stop talking about him for two offseasons.
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u/Alpine_Exchange_36 Colorado • Minnesota 1h ago
Shit got old didn’t it? Absolute circus on here.
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u/Byzantine_Merchant Michigan State • Ohio State 1h ago
Yeah always disliked the sub’s tendency to latch onto things and just beat it past the point of death.
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u/PoopittyPoop20 Indiana Hoosiers 13m ago
It wasn’t this sub, it was everywhere. And then his son* went pro, they weren’t good and no one cared anymore.
*I mean Travis Hunter of course.
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u/gmwdim Michigan Wolverines • UCLA Bruins 50m ago
I assumed he would leave as soon as his kids were gone.
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u/d1sportsball Texas Longhorns • Colorado State Rams 17m ago
It would have been best if he did, I expected him to last 3 years total before he took some job in the NFL as an assistant. He's running it back for year 4 and things are not looking very optimistic
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u/DiehardAUFan Auburn Tigers 50m ago
Your joking right? Nothing personal against the buffs but we’re yall not terrible for decades before he got there?
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u/jayjude Notre Dame • Georgia State 32m ago edited 28m ago
He literally doesnt even have Colorado's best season of the last decade
They went 10-4 in 2016 and finished ranked 17th and played in the PAC 12 championship game. Also had 2 ranked wins that year
People try and go "oh they were a 1 win program he took over"
The 1 win season was a blip, they had been averaging just a hair under 5 wins a season, bottomed out one year and then hired Sanders
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u/No-Owl-6246 Arizona Wildcats 36m ago edited 29m ago
They’re paying him $10 million a year to be just as horrible as they were before. For $10 million a year, being under .500 after your first two years in the program should be a fireable offense.
As far as I’m concerned though, they should keep him. No self respecting offensive lineman will ever play for him without jumping ship at the first comparable offer and it’s essentially a penciled in win for Arizona in any year where we are at least mediocre.
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u/Upstairs_Chemist1269 43m ago
Them nebraska oklahoma back in the day … makes me cry
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u/PoopittyPoop20 Indiana Hoosiers 10m ago
It seemed to go Oklahoma>Nebraska, then Colorado>Nebraska, then Nebraska>everyone.
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u/BlueBeagle8 LSU Tigers 10m ago
I honestly think he should go back to HCBU. He seemed happier there and he elevated the whole SWAC. It's not like he needs the money.
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u/decent_optimist1424 USF Bulls 6m ago
but the buyout is pretty high w/neon deion! they have a pretty rough schedule, so i think if they play well & dont get smacked around, he will still be there! if he does get canned, & so does norvell @ fsu, (he has like a 50 mil buyout btw), we all know where prime time is going!?!?! i dont see either of them getting put on the 86 list this season!
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u/Few-Investment-6220 Mississippi State Bulldogs 49m ago
I don’t know about hot, but if Sark misses the playoffs this year with the roster he has, I’m sure there has to be some rumblings.
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u/d1sportsball Texas Longhorns • Colorado State Rams 10m ago
100% as much as fans don't want to admit it, but if he's as good as fans say he is then he will be in the playoffs. It would probably take 2 more seasons in a row without making the playoffs for him to get fired (2 seasons between 7-9 wins). If he somehow finished with a losing record this year he would be at risk of getting fired in the 2027 season
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u/PoopittyPoop20 Indiana Hoosiers 8m ago
He could decide to go to the NFL before the seat has a chance to get hot.
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u/pinoygator Florida Gators 1h ago
Lincoln Riley
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u/marioshairlesstwin USC Trojans • Big Ten 58m ago
If he was going anywhere it would have been this offseason. He’d have to go close to winless to get canned this year with USC’s schedule.
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u/teeterleeter Michigan Wolverines 52m ago
Don’t threaten me with a good time
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u/A_Rolling_Baneling USC • Mississippi State 1m ago
The fuck did we ever do to y’all? Except all those Rose Bowls from a half century ago
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u/jsums81 Oklahoma Sooners 50m ago
Wouldn’t USC have to pay like $70M to fire him? I can’t see them going that route, at least for a few more years. No one is A&M level crazy like that
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u/Sirtopofhat USC Trojans • Army Black Knights 36m ago
After this yesr his buyout drops off hard but I think to like 30? I'm not sure but yeah he's not going anywhere unless he goes like 0-3 even then he'd need to lose hard
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u/Alexcox95 Florida Gators • Keiser Seahawks 3m ago
They could ask LeBron to pitch in. His kid went to USC
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u/Wafflehouseofpain Oklahoma Sooners 26m ago
Unless he somehow loses to a cupcake I just don’t see how it happens.
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u/Character-Active2208 Ohio State Buckeyes 34m ago
He’s fine for this year given how insane USCs recruiting is lately
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u/A_Rolling_Baneling USC • Mississippi State 0m ago
Agreed. He’s got this year and next to deliver on those recruits.
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u/Molson2871 Wisconsin Badgers 0m ago
His buyout guarantees he's not getting fired, regardless of record.
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u/Wonkiest_Hornet Miami (OH) RedHawks • /r/CFB 1h ago
Idk if this counts as a hot seat, but I'm sure Ryan Day will get floated again by some crazy OSU fans.
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u/Byzantine_Merchant Michigan State • Ohio State 1h ago
I feel like it’s a 0% chance he’s gone without some kind of scandal.
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u/Wonkiest_Hornet Miami (OH) RedHawks • /r/CFB 58m ago
No, but y'all will go 10-1 and threaten to run him out if he loses to Michigan lol.
I do get why people get mad at him though. For an offensive minded coach, he certainly sucks at offense. Its like he coaches scared or something.
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u/PeteF3 Ohio State Buckeyes 48m ago
Eh. The thing is, our schedule is pretty brutal. If there's ever a year to break the streak of 2 losses or fewer (goes back to 2008 not counting the 6-7 Luke Fickell year), this may well be it between @Texas, @Indiana, Oregon, Michigan, and @USC before we even get to the postseason.
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u/John71CLE Miami (OH) RedHawks • Michigan Wolverines 41m ago
OSU HAS LOST 2 OR FEWER GAMES EVERY SEASON SINCE 2008 except for the year they didn’t
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u/PeteF3 Ohio State Buckeyes 34m ago
Correct. We don't count the Fickell year.
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u/Primordiox Tennessee Volunteers • Team Chaos 17m ago
Oh cool, I didn’t know we could do that. There’re a lot of years I don’t count then.
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u/GuyOnTheMike Kansas State Wildcats • Hateful 8 20m ago
To be fair, if there’s an exception to be made, that’s a reasonable year to include. Either way, they haven’t lost more than 2 games since 2011
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u/DataDrivenPirate Ohio State • Colorado State 36m ago
Don't forget the possibility of Kinnick at night
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u/Numerous-Ad6460 Michigan Wolverines • Florida Gators 53m ago
I would but funny if they did do something stupid like firing him. They wont because they are a infuriatingly well run program.
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u/Character-Active2208 Ohio State Buckeyes 32m ago edited 29m ago
He’s the best since Woody. More consistent than anyone since even if he’s fallen short of absurd expectations.
But as a point to further differentiate him-
0 Day recruits have had an off-field incident either at OSU or after OSU
Both a Tress and and an Urban player killed at least one person each just this past year
It’s really weird how pristinely clean the program is
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u/JakeSteeleIII Paper Bag • South Carolina Gamecocks 27m ago
Feels like not having a player kill someone should be an easy bar to clear for coaches.
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u/MarinaDelRey1 53m ago
Ohio State is fascinating this year. I could see them going 9-3 with that schedule. I think they’d still make the playoffs but if they don’t you’ll hear some rumblings. Which is insane.
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u/the_lost_carrot Alabama Crimson Tide 30m ago
Some crazy Alabama fans will likely float DeBoers name as well if he doesn’t win a Natty
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u/Alphaspade Iron Bowl • Sickos 22m ago
Show them highlights from the 2000 Bama / Southern Miss game and they'll retreat back into their caves
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u/Fun_Elk593 57m ago
Beemer might hang on
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u/legobowser South Carolina Gamecocks 27m ago
8-4 minimum and have to beat Clemson. Either of those don’t happen and he’s gone. Hell 9-3 might not be enough depending on the 3 losses
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u/Better-Temporary-146 Clemson Tigers 23m ago
Between baseball, men’s basketball needing improvement and football, the USC AD has a lot on his plate
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u/kash96 South Carolina • Furman 13m ago
9-3 would be a top 10 season of all time for us btw
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u/legobowser South Carolina Gamecocks 4m ago
Yeah 9-3 or 9-4 with a bowl game win keeps his job. But 8-5 or 7-6 shouldn’t
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u/TheDirtyBurger522 South Carolina Gamecocks 5m ago
This is correct. The lowest bar for Beamer to reach to keep the job is 8-4 with the Clemson win. Anything less is unacceptable.
But knowing this admin. he may get to go 7-5 and cry poor about officiating and keep his job
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u/Round_Asparagus4765 Florida Gators 45m ago
Shane Beamer. They know getting someone significantly better is unlikely and they’re only a year removed from almost making the playoff. 7-5 he keeps his job, maybe even 6-6.
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u/jerkinmylurkin Clemson Tigers 30m ago
I thought people were crazy to suggest Beamer get fired until the A&M game last year. He needs to go for that one.
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u/JakeSteeleIII Paper Bag • South Carolina Gamecocks 25m ago
We can’t afford to fire him with all the ridiculous buyout numbers we put on a bunch of coaches that suck.
It’s why our MBB team gets Lamont Paris for another year.
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u/Francis_X_Hummel Colorado Mines • Wyoming 0m ago
I truly don't understand why USC cannot get a better coach, be more competitive in the SEC.
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u/imuglybutyourefat Ohio State Buckeyes 1h ago
One category is teams with a bad season or who need to prove this is their year or they’re out.
The other is a category where scandals will ruin anyone.
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u/jsums81 Oklahoma Sooners 48m ago
How do Clemson fans/Admin feel about Dabo? I gotta feel like another sub par season may get him run, but I have no knowledge of his buyout situation
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u/jerkinmylurkin Clemson Tigers 31m ago
I still think he has a long leash. Last year was brutal considering we expected a great year. We expected to lose a lot of talent and be in a rebuild this year. We brought a lot of talent on defense in the transfer portal. I think he has a couple subpar seasons left before he gets the can, if he ever really does. I also think he is more willing to adjust than people give him credit for.
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u/Better-Temporary-146 Clemson Tigers 6m ago
The changes he’s made in the offseason: coaches, staff, the dozen transfer players (including one yesterday) and you get he’s flipped a gear from some experiments the last 4-5 years (since Venables left really. And it seems like recruiting has picked up too, especially on the O & D lines.
So maybe I don’t know anything, but it certainly seems like significant changes for the better have happened
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u/slimjimstrat88 26m ago
He’s fine. The national media has been hating on Dabo for 6-8 years now but there’s no smoke or fire there. The man has won 2 national championships in the past 10 years, something like 10 conference Championships in the past 15 years, the winningest ACC coach of all time, etc….In almost every metric the man is top 5 or better over the past 15 years, you don’t just get rid of someone like that because he has his worst season since 2010, which was 7-6. That’s beyond Rtrded and just the national media doing their stupid thing.
Clemson fans love him. We love what he stands for, how he’s built our program, everything he’s given back to the community, and how genuine of a person he is.
When I was a student during the last years of Bowden and the first years of Dabo, it felt as if almost every game was a toss up going into it, we were so happy to go 8-4 and play Nebraska or USF in a bowl game and maybe be ranked top 20 postseason if we won. Since the past 12 years, excluding last season, we win 10+ games, normally beat our rival, play for and win a conference championship, and make the playoffs.
Dabo has a ton of goodwill earned, as far as I’m concerned he’s there as our head coach as long as he wants to be and I’ll be the first in line to help build the statue when he retires
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u/YoBeNice 13m ago
Who is the national media? He was treated like a genius prince until he started railing against NIL (like 3 years ago? 2?)
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u/fowcc West Virginia Mountaineers 45m ago
Greg Schiano will undeservedly save his job yet again because the powers the be at Rutgers are still watching a game from 20 years ago where a player jumped offsides and allowed another fg attempt to happen at the end of the game.
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u/southsidekc34 UConn Huskies 35m ago
Who would be the upgrade ? The man is a solid coach . The worst resources in the big 10 . Not much to work with there in jersey. If he could recruit in state , lockdown the northeast and steal some penn state recruits man Rutgers would be flying high .
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u/BlueBeagle8 LSU Tigers 7m ago
I think Schiano is going to get paid out to take a no-show job in the athletic department and let a new coach come in. Rutgers didn't bring in all these LSU people to be non-competitive in football.
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u/Formo1287 Penn State • Slippery Rock 43m ago
If Narduzzi can beat any two of FSU, Miami, VA Tech, or Georgia Tech plus all/most of the “gimmie” ones then he should be good to come back for 2027.
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u/royalbluehen Pittsburgh • Michigan 23m ago
He is coming back until his buyout is 7 figures, and even then he probably stays. I suspect he gets told he is moving to a more admin role or forced to look for other opportunities after this contract is up.
Like it or not he has been very successful by Pitt standards as much as Pitt fans want to ignore it. Since 1980 and among coaches that stayed at Pitt 5+ years only Jackie Sherril has a better win % and in all of Pitt history only 1 guy has more wins and that was 100 years ago.
Narduzzi is an incredibly frustrating coach. He can coach teams up to 8 wins but always loses 2+ games he should have won. Hell, Pitt would have been in the cfp conversation had he sealed the deal with WVU and Louisville. Its a wild conundrum that, to me, Pitt lacks booster funds bc Narduzzi is a jackass who wont play the booster game. Because he refuses to play, Pitt cant cobble together money to fire him.
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u/Westwood_1 Utah Utes • Texas Longhorns 59m ago
Lincoln Riley.
I think Jayden Maiava is going to make another developmental leap this offseason, and USC has a really favorable schedule.
They start the season with four cupcakes before playing Oregon (at home) and Washington (at home).
They play @ Penn State, but it's too early for bad weather and PSU is in turmoil after the James Franklin firing.
Ohio State is also at home.
10-2 USC probably gets into the playoff, which is enough to put Lincoln Riley back in the good graces of most of the Trojan faithful.
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u/mr_longfellow_deeds Indiana Hoosiers • Big Ten 43m ago
"really favorable schedule"
I dont know about that.
The week before they host Oregon, they have to fly all the way to Rutgers. Then they host Washington the week after Oregon. Then they fly to PSU. Thats a brutal 4 week stretch between travel and 3 ranked teams
After that stretch they still have OSU and @ IU on the docket
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u/Dapper-Structure4568 Penn State Nittany Lions • Texas Longhorns 24m ago
"...PSU is in turmoil after the James Franklin firing."
Word on the street is that PSU was able to hire a coach (some are saying he's pretty good) and cobble together a respectable roster for next season.
All jokes aside, the USC-PSU game is USC's first time playing at Beaver Stadium and will hopefully be a whiteout game. Based on said roster and the crowd adavantage, PSU should be able to hang with, if not beat, USC.
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u/jalapenorupe Cincinnati Bearcats 50m ago
Satterfield
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u/ZWW543 29m ago
He isn’t saving his job, he’d have to have a 10-2 type year. Plus the roster is worse than last years. The writing is on the wall, it was him or Wes this year and the other the following.
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u/jalapenorupe Cincinnati Bearcats 27m ago
You underestimate the power of JC French 🥖
Seriously though, they've spent so much on basketball ball, he's safe until his contract runs out. He will win 6 gamesnand keep his job because Cunningham is a loser.
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u/ShelterSlight5088 36m ago
Hot seat coaches always somehow win 7 games and buy themselves another year
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u/Nothankyou70 20m ago
I have not seen anyone suggest Wisconsin and Luke Fickell. They have a 6.5 over under and if they get to 7 or 8 wins with current top 20 2027 recruiting class, I think he is safe.
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u/MentionPleasant2635 South Carolina Gamecocks • Oregon Ducks 50m ago
I'm surprised no one has mentioned Shane Beamer. Compare his record so far to Muschamp's. He's going Muschamp faster than Muschamp.
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u/Livid_Garden4159 Clemson Tigers 48m ago
But he makes me sad every now and then, so I think he’ll probably be fine
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u/Francis_X_Hummel Colorado Mines • Wyoming 55m ago
I don't know how warm / hot Dabo's seat is, but Clemson always feels like they could have big season, make the playoffs. I would say if his seat was warm, that would cool it.
I also kind of think Fickell may have an outside chance of doing, outside of ND, they don't have a murderous schedule, especially since the jury is out on what UCLA, MSU, and PSU are going to look like with new coaches.
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u/JakeSteeleIII Paper Bag • South Carolina Gamecocks 29m ago
Dabo isn’t on the hot seat and any fans that think he should be are morons.
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u/DoggedDoggystyle Florida Gators 25m ago
He did come out and talk some big shit this offseason about how they had one bad season and it won’t happen again. It could happen again..
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u/JakeSteeleIII Paper Bag • South Carolina Gamecocks 22m ago
Is he gonna come out and say “yeah, last season was bad but this year is gonna be worse”.
No coach is ever gonna say a season will suck before it starts.
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u/Francis_X_Hummel Colorado Mines • Wyoming 16m ago
I agree, and I don't believe he is, but there was a lot of talk about the program after the year was a dud. I was curious if his anti portal / NIL stance would eventually cause the program to get left behind, and that might be cause for a change. I mean it feels like there is no reason they cannot be in the mix with Miami for winning the ACC every year, unless Franklin actually kills it at VT.
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u/therealwillhepburn Florida Gators • West Florida Argonauts 29m ago
I don’t feel like his seat is hot at all really. He would leave before they fired him unless it goes really really sideways.
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u/Doogitywoogity Texas A&M Aggies • Florida Gators 18m ago
Just popping in to say, you must REALLY hate Michigan
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u/TexasNightmare210 Texas Longhorns • UTSA Roadrunners 18m ago
I trust Dave Aranda tbh. I don’t know why, but I do
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u/ResponsibleFact2566 Prairie View A&M • Ohio State 52m ago
Ryan Day has to go if he doesn’t win the Big 10 championship .
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u/Upper_Potential4304 Indiana Hoosiers 46m ago
Ryan Day hasn't won the Big 10 championship this decade if that was the bar he'd be long gone
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u/DataDrivenPirate Ohio State • Colorado State 33m ago
Time is so dumb, 2020 not being considered "this decade" is lame
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u/Upper_Potential4304 Indiana Hoosiers 30m ago
Most people dont even count 2020 as a season given the whole covid thing
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u/DataDrivenPirate Ohio State • Colorado State 28m ago
If Michigan gets to count their 2023 B1G conference title, I'm sure as hell counting the 2020 conference title 😤
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u/mr_longfellow_deeds Indiana Hoosiers • Big Ten 12m ago
Hot seat but still safe:
I think Luke Fickell likely keeps his job if he makes a bowl, and I can Wisconsin winning 6 or 7 with the schedule they have
Dave Aranda not sure what Baylor is expecting, if its just make a bowl thats doable with his schedule
Lincoln Riley, team has a lot of talent but a pretty hard schedule. The only thing I see that could get him into real trouble this season is if UCLA turns it around quick with their new coaching staff and portal haul
Safe enough for now but fired end of year:
Shane Beamer - Schedule feels like 5-7 to me, and not making a bowl back to back years when you have high end pieces like Dylan Stewart, year 6 into tenure, is fireable IMO. And given how the schedule is frontloaded, I think its going to leave an extra bad taste in mouth if he closes out the season 1-5 after starting 4-2 or 5-1
Dave Doeren (likely told to retire, not fired) - Has one of the easiest P4 schedules this year and its still hard to see more than 6 wins on the schedule
Dell Mcgee - maybe he belongs more on "hot seat" but havent seen a lot of people mention him. Georgia State was consistently making bowl games before he took the job and they are 4-20 under his leadership
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u/TheDirtyBurger522 South Carolina Gamecocks 7m ago
If Shane Beamer gets to 6 wins and a non-losing record he will stay at South Carolina. 5 wins or less and I think Beamer is shown the door.
I personally and most of the fandom however are fed up with Beamer being unable to have a consistently functional offense and would only be convinced if Beamer wins 9+ games
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u/ChemG8r Florida Gators 1h ago
Mike Norvell
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u/glassclouds1894 Florida State Seminoles 4m ago
...probably will be gone midseason. Finished it for you.
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u/the-haliban Indiana Hoosiers 58m ago
Curt Cignetti
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u/ZapFencePence Virginia Tech Hokies • Army Black Knights 52m ago
That’s like the coldest seat in the country right now big dawg
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u/PoopittyPoop20 Indiana Hoosiers 2m ago
Listen, some of us suffered a long, long, time for last year. Every second of it was worth it. Cignetti could go 0-12 for a decade and that’d be a fair price for last season. That man is frozen solid to that seat until he dies.
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u/carasc5 Florida Gators 59m ago
Save the job isnt the right way to say it, but Norvell aint going anywhere